A Taxing Time For Queensland Investors…

Queensland has been a state where property investors have traditionally made better returns on a net and gross basis, from investment property in the state, compared with those in New South Wales and Victoria.

To recap, gross investment returns is the ratio of current property market value compared with the current rental paid, assuming the property is fully let. The Net Investment return is a more real-world measure, which takes account of actual vacancy rates, cost of mortgage, maintenance, and management of the property. In our surveys, many property investors have no feel for their true net returns, clinging to the prospect of eternal capital gains.

Those in Victoria are worst placed, which explains the very strong interstate investment in Queensland, one reason why prices and rents had shot up in the past couple of years. But there is something afoot in Queensland, which could change this picture, possibly significantly.

Indeed, those following the AFR will have noted its fever pitch campaign against an Australian-first move whereby landholders will have to voluntarily disclose their interstate holdings in other states before being taxed for their Queensland holdings. These land tax changes were first announced in the 2021-22 budget update on 16 December 2021. Queensland Treasury has said the tax change will raise only $20 million a year from 2023-24 and impact about 10,000 landholders, most of whom who live interstate.

Investors are irate with the changes, saying they will drive investors out of Queensland as well as push up rents and that they felt like they were being taxed twice in two different states.

A spokesman for Mr Dick acknowledged this week the tax change would affect some Queensland investors.

So now Queensland owners are now working out how they will be stung by the tax.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

More On The Unoccupied Housing Question…

In this show we do a deeper dive into the ABS Census data series and examine the distribution and location of vacant property as defined by the census. We highlight the post codes with the highest counts and their distribution. We have mapped the results and added them to our Core Market Model.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Now Property Is Costing New Zealanders Every Day!

In New Zealand, the tightening rate cycle which is currently in full swing – with more to come, is crushing the housing market, as illustrated by the August 2022 QV House Price Index for August which was released today. The average house value in New Zealand had fallen by some $89,917 to the end of August (down 8.5%) compared with the January peak – which is a rate of some $424 of lost value per day. “It looks as though it’s going to get tougher before it gets any easier for sellers. First-home buyers will continue to struggle for finance with tight credit conditions and affordability constraints. Plus, there’s still plenty of new homes in the pipeline, which will add further to oversupply, putting further downward pressure on prices.”

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

After The RBA Deluge: What Next? With Steve Mickenbecker

I caught up with Steve from Canstar to discuss the fallout from the RBA rate rises. Steve Mickenbecker is in Canstar’s Group Executive Team, bringing more than 30 years of experience in the Australian financial services industry. As a financial commentator for Canstar, Steve enjoys sharing his expertise across topics such as home loans, superannuation, insurance, mortgages, banking, credit cards, investment, budgeting, money management and more.

https://www.canstar.com.au/team-members/steve-mickenbecker/

National Debt Helpline 1800 007 007. https://ndh.org.au/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The RBA Rate Rise On The Radio

I discussed the RBA rate rise on the ABC this morning on RB with Patrica Karvelas. “Mortgage ‘prisoners’ trapped as RBA lifts cash rate” https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/breakfast/mortgage-prisoners-trapped-as-rba-lifts-cash-rate/101412718

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

DFA Live Q&A HD Replay Property And Stress Data Now

This is an edited version of a live discussion about the current state of the property markets. We look at recent price falls, as well as the latest from our modelling, including information at a post code level. And of course review today’s RBA decision. Warning, this show might run for longer than normal! Thanks to Cookie for his work on price falls!!

Original stream is here: https://youtu.be/R2Oy5Mk4RLA

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

FINAL REMINDER: DFA Live Q&A 8pm Sydney: Property And Stress Data Now

Join us tonight at 8pm Sydney for a live discussion about property trends, and household stress. You can ask a question live, and we will have the post code engine online so we can look at specific post codes and also our stress mapping across the country.

Given the 50 basis point rate hike today, this is an important show.

The One Million Vacant Homes Question…

The recent release of 2021 Census data revealed a shocking “one million homes were unoccupied”.

This statistic sent housing commentators, government agencies and policymakers into a spin. At a time of significant housing shortages, this extra million homes would surely make a big difference. They could provide housing for some homeless, ease the rental affordability crisis, and get first-home owners into their first home. There has been a great deal of speculation about how this has happened. Has it been caused by overseas millionaires buying up housing and leaving it as an empty investment? Is it Airbnb taking up homes that could be used for families? Or are cashed-up Gen-Xers double-consuming by living in one house while renovating another?

So, why were 1,043,776 dwellings empty on census night?

Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

My latest chat with Edwin as we discuss politicians and their property portfolios, as first time buyers feel the pressure, and mortgage prisoners are a things. We also discuss some of the strategies to make sure agents are working for you.

https://www.ribbonproperty.com.au/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/