Whilst Bank Margins Improve Significantly, Most Households Do Not Benefit

Using the updated RBA chart pack data, we can see the movements in deposits, lending and funding, all elements impacting bank profitability and their customers. We see that funding costs are down, deposit returns are down, whilst headline lending rates are static. This is creating an opportunity for banks to discount selectively to attract target housing lending. Looking in more detail, margins on personal loans have increased, with no change to the average rate since 2012, despite the fall in funding costs and the target rate since then. Average mortgage rates have not changed since September 2013, again despite falls in funding costs. Deposit rates have been falling recently as can be seen from the chart. Small business lending rates are still very high. This is creating significant profit for the banks.

Bank-MarginsIn addition, wholesale bank funding costs are lower than they have been since 2007, and we are even seeing improvements in the costs of securitisation, as well as debt based funding. We recently published an update to our series on mortgage discounting, and we highlight again the wide range of margins available depending on the particular transaction involved. Large home loans, and investment property loans appear to attract the biggest discounts. Small business on the other hand find it hard to get any reduction in interest rates.

DiscountJun-Range Those with the capacity to switch have the potential to negotiate quite a discount, but those unwilling or unable to switch are unable to take advantage of the lower rates, so continue to be locked into high rates, which flow direct to the bank’s bottom line. And remember, according to the BIS, we have some of the most profitable banks in the western world. Clearly competitive tension is insufficient to drive down margins for most households. I will be interested to see if the current Financial Sector Inquiry discusses the question of completion in banking as it looks to me to be a major issue, which is costing Australia Inc, dear. Banks were quick to put their rates up when needed, but the reverse is not true.

Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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