Massive Capital Injection to Chinese Banks is Credit Positive – Moody’s

In a research note Moody’s says that last Tuesday, China’s official Xinhua News Agency reported that the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) had injected $48 billion of equity capital into China Development Bank Corporation and $45 billion into The Export-Import Bank of China (CEXIM).

The injections were made through Wutongshu Investment Platform Co. Ltd., an entity that invests China’s foreign currency reserves. The massive equity infusions are credit positive for CDB and CEXIM. CDB’s capital adequacy ratio rises to about 11.8% from 9.1% under Basel III at year-end 2014, while CEXIM’s capital adequacy ratio, which it does not disclose, rises significantly. The injections also add to both banks’ loss-absorption capacity. Against the backdrop of heightened asset-quality risks at domestic banks, we think the enhanced loss-absorption implies that regulators are likely to impose minimum capital requirements on the banks.

The capital infusions are consistent with the Chinese government’s goal to strengthen Chinese policy lenders’ capital positions. After the injections, both banks’ ratios of tangible common equity to tangible assets compare well with those of the rated Chinese large and national joint-stock commercial banks.

MoodyAug24-1In the past several years, CDB and CEXIM have taken on key roles as policy-driven banks in financing priority projects and supporting the growth of Chinese corporates expanding overseas. For 2013-14, CDB’s compound annual asset growth rate was 17.1% and CEXIM’s 23.2%, compared with an average 13.6% rate for the Chinese banking industry during the same period

MoodyAug24-2 The capital injections demonstrate the Chinese government’s strong commitment to support the two lenders, whose policy roles are increasingly important for stimulating domestic economic growth. CDB and CEXIM are likely to take on greater credit exposure and their lending may have a greater strategic rationale rather than an economic one. For instance, the additional capital should facilitate CDB and CEXIM financing of overseas projects that are part of China’s One Belt, One Road initiative to boost infrastructure and economic connectivity across Eurasia.

Our assumption of a very high level of government support for CDB and CEXIM’s reflects strong government backing to offset their greater risks, given the two banks’ strategic importance as agents of the Chinese government in the implementation of development initiatives.

Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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