Fewer Buyers Results in Greater Months of Supply

From CoreLogic.

Based on the relationship between demonstrated housing demand and advertised stock levels we are seeing relatively more stock available for sale compared to demand for that stock across the capital cities at the moment.

The months of supply figure compares the number of unique properties advertised for sale to the number of transactions in the market.  The analysis provides unique insight into how long it should take to clear the volume of stock currently available for sale.  It is important to note that off-the-plan housing stock is typically not advertised for sale as individual properties and as a result is not included within this analysis.

Across the combined capital cities, there is currently 4.4 months’ worth of residential properties being advertised for sale.  As the first chart shows, the months of supply is currently higher at this point of the year than it has been each year since 2012.  The increasing months of supply is largely due to the slowing rate of transaction activity rather than a spike in properties available for sale, indicating demand has diminished relative to advertised supply levels which is pushing the figure higher.

Months of supply, combined capital cities

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Sydney

There is currently 3.0 months of established housing supply available for sale across the city.  The city has seen consistently low months of supply over recent years however, the figure is currently at its highest level for this time of year since 2012.

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Melbourne

Established housing stock currently sits at 4.2 months of supply for the city.  Supply levels remain quite low but are at their highest levels for this time of year in five years.

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Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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