Join me for a live discussion about the current state of the Brisbane property market with Meighan Wells the Principal of Property Pursuit and co-founder of the Home Buyer Academy and co-presenter of Your First Home Buyer Guide Podcast. In recognition of her expertise and high standards in the fast-growing buyer’s agency industry, Meighan was engaged to develop and deliver the education module for the REIQ course Acting as a Buyer’s Agent and is the former Chairman of the REIQ Buyers’ Agent Chapter.
You can ask a question live. We will look at recent price falls, as well as the latest from our modelling, including information at a post code level. Thanks to Cookie for his work on price falls!!
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
The REINZ has released their report for August 2022 today, and it’s a story of continued weakness across the housing market in New Zealand, which is unsurprising given the significant cash rate hikes imposed by the Reserve Bank there.
So today we will look at the data, and also highlight how the story is still being spun by the industry to try and turn a profoundly negative story positive. Well good luck with that, as the OCR is lifted higher still.
They report that across New Zealand, median prices for residential property (excluding sections) decreased 5.9% annually, from $850,000 in August 2021 to $800,000 in August 2022. Month-on-month, this represents a 1.2% decrease from $810,000 in July. The seasonally adjusted figures show a 2.1% decrease in the median price as we moved from July to August, suggesting weaker performance than expected.
The median residential property price for New Zealand excluding Auckland remained unchanged compared to last year at $700,000. There was a month-on-month decrease of 2.8% from $720,000. A better way to report that, is all gains from the past year have now been extinguished on average.
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Queensland has been a state where property investors have traditionally made better returns on a net and gross basis, from investment property in the state, compared with those in New South Wales and Victoria.
To recap, gross investment returns is the ratio of current property market value compared with the current rental paid, assuming the property is fully let. The Net Investment return is a more real-world measure, which takes account of actual vacancy rates, cost of mortgage, maintenance, and management of the property. In our surveys, many property investors have no feel for their true net returns, clinging to the prospect of eternal capital gains.
Those in Victoria are worst placed, which explains the very strong interstate investment in Queensland, one reason why prices and rents had shot up in the past couple of years. But there is something afoot in Queensland, which could change this picture, possibly significantly.
Indeed, those following the AFR will have noted its fever pitch campaign against an Australian-first move whereby landholders will have to voluntarily disclose their interstate holdings in other states before being taxed for their Queensland holdings. These land tax changes were first announced in the 2021-22 budget update on 16 December 2021. Queensland Treasury has said the tax change will raise only $20 million a year from 2023-24 and impact about 10,000 landholders, most of whom who live interstate.
Investors are irate with the changes, saying they will drive investors out of Queensland as well as push up rents and that they felt like they were being taxed twice in two different states.
A spokesman for Mr Dick acknowledged this week the tax change would affect some Queensland investors.
So now Queensland owners are now working out how they will be stung by the tax.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
In this show we do a deeper dive into the ABS Census data series and examine the distribution and location of vacant property as defined by the census. We highlight the post codes with the highest counts and their distribution. We have mapped the results and added them to our Core Market Model.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
I caught up with Steve from Canstar to discuss the fallout from the RBA rate rises. Steve Mickenbecker is in Canstar’s Group Executive Team, bringing more than 30 years of experience in the Australian financial services industry. As a financial commentator for Canstar, Steve enjoys sharing his expertise across topics such as home loans, superannuation, insurance, mortgages, banking, credit cards, investment, budgeting, money management and more.
This is an edited version of a live discussion about the current state of the property markets. We look at recent price falls, as well as the latest from our modelling, including information at a post code level. And of course review today’s RBA decision. Warning, this show might run for longer than normal! Thanks to Cookie for his work on price falls!!
Original stream is here: https://youtu.be/R2Oy5Mk4RLA
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Join us tonight at 8pm Sydney for a live discussion about property trends, and household stress. You can ask a question live, and we will have the post code engine online so we can look at specific post codes and also our stress mapping across the country.
Given the 50 basis point rate hike today, this is an important show.
The recent release of 2021 Census data revealed a shocking “one million homes were unoccupied”.
This statistic sent housing commentators, government agencies and policymakers into a spin. At a time of significant housing shortages, this extra million homes would surely make a big difference. They could provide housing for some homeless, ease the rental affordability crisis, and get first-home owners into their first home. There has been a great deal of speculation about how this has happened. Has it been caused by overseas millionaires buying up housing and leaving it as an empty investment? Is it Airbnb taking up homes that could be used for families? Or are cashed-up Gen-Xers double-consuming by living in one house while renovating another?
So, why were 1,043,776 dwellings empty on census night?
My latest chat with Edwin as we discuss politicians and their property portfolios, as first time buyers feel the pressure, and mortgage prisoners are a things. We also discuss some of the strategies to make sure agents are working for you.
https://www.ribbonproperty.com.au/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
I caught up with Cameron as he republishes his book from 2017 Game of Mates: How favours bleed the nation as Rigged “How Networks Of Powerful Mates Rip Off Everyday Australians”.
This book will open your eyes to how Australia really works. It’s not good news, but you need to know it.’ – Ross Gittins ‘
You’ll be shocked at how far the Mates have their hand in your pocket.’ – Nicholas Gruen
Australia has become one of the most unequal societies in the Western world, when just a generation ago it was one of the most equal. This is the story of how networks of Mates have come to dominate business and government, robbing ordinary Australians.
Every hour you work, thirty minutes of it goes to line the Mates’ pockets rather than your own. Mates in big corporations, industry groups, government departments, the halls of parliament and the media skew the system to suit each other. Corporations dodge taxes, so you pay more. You pay more for your house and higher interest rates on your mortgage, more for your medicines and transport, and more for your children’s education and insurance, because the Mates take a cut.
Rigged uncovers the pattern of political favours, grey gifts and information-sharing that has been allowed to build up over two decades. Drawing on extensive economic research, it exposes the Game of Mates as nothing less than cronyism on a grand scale across Australia and how we have fallen behind other countries in combating it.
We also discuss the recent Canberra event and housing policy in general.
Dr Cameron K. Murray is a Research Fellow in the Henry Halloran Trust at the University of Sydney and an economist specialising in property and urban development, environmental economics, rent-seeking and corruption. Professor Paul Frijters teaches at the London School of Economics and was previously Professor of Health Economics at the University of Queensland.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
